🇮🇹 Italy 3–0 Ukraine 🇺🇦
2006 World Cup · Quarter-final. tournament · tables
🇮🇹 Italy value €378M · value #1 · Elo #7
Francesco Totti €37M Gianluigi Buffon €30M Alessandro Nesta €29M 3–0 Italy win
🇺🇦 Ukraine value €78M · value #15 · Elo #20
Andriy Shevchenko €38M Anatoliy Tymoshchuk €6M Andriy Voronin €6M
Goals
Italy ▲ Ukraine ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Gianluca Zambrotta 6' 6 Zambrotta Luca Toni 59' 59 Toni Luca Toni 69' 69 Toni
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇮🇹 Italy
Gianluigi Buffon · GK 1 Buffon Gianluca Zambrotta · RB 19 Zambrotta Fabio Grosso · LB 3 Grosso Fabio Cannavaro · CB 5 Cannavaro Andrea Barzagli · CB 6 Barzagli Francesco Totti · AM 10 Totti Mauro Camoranesi · RM 16 Camoranesi Simone Perrotta · LM 20 Perrotta Andrea Pirlo · CM 21 Pirlo Gennaro Gattuso · CM 8 Gattuso Luca Toni · CF 9 Toni 🇺🇦 Ukraine
Oleksandr Shovkovskyi · GK 1 Shovkovskyi Andriy Nesmachnyi · LB 2 Nesmachnyi Vyacheslav Sviderskyi · CB 22 Sviderskyi Andriy Rusol · CB 6 Rusol Oleh Husyev · RB 9 Husyev Andriy Husin · CM 14 Husin Anatoliy Tymoschuk · CM 4 Tymoschuk Oleh Shelayev · CM 8 Shelayev Artem Milevskyi · RW 15 Milevskyi Maksym Kalynychenko · LW 19 Kalynychenko Andriy Shevchenko · CF 7 Shevchenko
Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇮🇹 Italy 63.4% draw 22.4% 14.2% Ukraine 🇺🇦
Model P(result)
63.4%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#347
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.66
−log₂ P(observed)
Italy's run W 🇬🇭 2–0 Ghana, Group D 🇺🇸 1–1 United States, Group W 🇨🇿 2–0 Czech Republic, Group W 🇦🇺 1–0 Australia, Round of 16 W 🇺🇦 3–0 Ukraine, Quarter-final W 🇩🇪 2–0 Germany, Semi-final D 🇫🇷 1–1 France, Final
Ukraine's run L 🇪🇸 0–4 Spain, Group W 🇸🇦 4–0 Saudi Arabia, Group W 🇹🇳 1–0 Tunisia, Group D 🇨🇭 0–0 Switzerland, Round of 16 L 🇮🇹 0–3 Italy, Quarter-final
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.