🇪🇸 Spain 1–0 Germany 🇩🇪
2010 World Cup · Semi-final. tournament · tables
🇪🇸 Spain value €650M · value #1 · Elo #1
Xavi €65M Andrés Iniesta €60M Cesc Fàbregas €55M 1–0 Spain win
🇩🇪 Germany value €290M · value #7 · Elo #5
Mario Gómez €28M Philipp Lahm €25M Bastian Schweinsteiger €24M Goals
Spain ▲ Germany ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Carles Puyol 73' 73 Puyol
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇪🇸 Spain
Iker Casillas · GK 1 Casillas Joan Capdevila · LB 11 Capdevila Sergio Ramos · RB 15 Ramos Gerard Piqué · CB 3 Piqué Carles Puyol · CB 5 Puyol Xabi Alonso · DM 14 Alonso Sergio Busquets · DM 16 Busquets Xavi · AM 8 Xavi Pedro · LW 18 Pedro Andrés Iniesta · RW 6 Iniesta David Villa · CF 7 Villa 🇩🇪 Germany
Manuel Neuer · GK 1 Neuer Philipp Lahm · RB 16 Lahm Per Mertesacker · CB 17 Mertesacker Jérôme Boateng · LB 20 Boateng Arne Friedrich · CB 3 Friedrich Sami Khedira · DM 6 Khedira Bastian Schweinsteiger · DM 7 Schweinsteiger Mesut Özil · AM 8 Özil Lukas Podolski · LW 10 Podolski Miroslav Klose · CF 11 Klose Piotr Trochowski · RW 15 Trochowski Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇪🇸 Spain 42.4% draw 26.8% 30.8% Germany 🇩🇪
Model P(result)
42.5%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#234
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.24
−log₂ P(observed)
Spain's run L 🇨🇭 0–1 Switzerland, Group W 🇭🇳 2–0 Honduras, Group W 🇨🇱 2–1 Chile, Group W 🇵🇹 1–0 Portugal, Round of 16 W 🇵🇾 1–0 Paraguay, Quarter-final W 🇩🇪 1–0 Germany, Semi-final W 🇳🇱 1–0 Netherlands, Final Germany's run W 🇦🇺 4–0 Australia, Group L 🇷🇸 0–1 Serbia, Group W 🇬🇭 1–0 Ghana, Group W 🏴 4–1 England, Round of 16 W 🇦🇷 4–0 Argentina, Quarter-final L 🇪🇸 0–1 Spain, Semi-final W 🇺🇾 3–2 Uruguay, Third place
Head-to-head at the World Cup