🇪🇸 Spain 1–0 Paraguay 🇵🇾
2010 World Cup · Quarter-final. tournament · tables
🇪🇸 Spain value €650M · value #1 · Elo #1
Xavi €65M Andrés Iniesta €60M Cesc Fàbregas €55M 1–0 Spain win
🇵🇾 Paraguay value €71M · value #22 · Elo #18
Óscar Cardozo €12M Lucas Barrios €11M Roque Santa Cruz €8M Goals
Spain ▲ Paraguay ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' David Villa 83' 83 Villa
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇪🇸 Spain
Iker Casillas · GK 1 Casillas Joan Capdevila · LB 11 Capdevila Sergio Ramos · RB 15 Ramos Gerard Piqué · CB 3 Piqué Carles Puyol · CB 5 Puyol Xabi Alonso · LM 14 Alonso Sergio Busquets · DM 16 Busquets Andrés Iniesta · RM 6 Iniesta Xavi · CM 8 Xavi David Villa · SS 7 Villa Fernando Torres · CF 9 Torres 🇵🇾 Paraguay
Justo Villar · GK 1 Villar Paulo da Silva · CB 14 Silva Darío Verón · RB 2 Verón Antolín Alcaraz · CB 21 Alcaraz Claudio Morel · LB 3 Morel Jonathan Santana · RM 11 Santana Víctor Cáceres · DM 15 Cáceres Cristian Riveros · LM 16 Riveros Édgar Barreto · CM 8 Barreto Nelson Valdez · SS 18 Valdez Óscar Cardozo · CF 7 Cardozo Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇪🇸 Spain 77.6% draw 16.6% 5.8% Paraguay 🇵🇾
Model P(result)
77.6%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#438
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.37
−log₂ P(observed)
Spain's run L 🇨🇭 0–1 Switzerland, Group W 🇭🇳 2–0 Honduras, Group W 🇨🇱 2–1 Chile, Group W 🇵🇹 1–0 Portugal, Round of 16 W 🇵🇾 1–0 Paraguay, Quarter-final W 🇩🇪 1–0 Germany, Semi-final W 🇳🇱 1–0 Netherlands, Final Paraguay's run D 🇮🇹 1–1 Italy, Group W 🇸🇰 2–0 Slovakia, Group D 🇳🇿 0–0 New Zealand, Group D 🇯🇵 0–0 Japan, Round of 16 L 🇪🇸 0–1 Spain, Quarter-final
Head-to-head at the World Cup