🇪🇸 Spain 1–0 Portugal 🇵🇹
2010 World Cup · Round of 16. tournament · tables
🇪🇸 Spain value €650M · value #1 · Elo #1
Xavi €65M Andrés Iniesta €60M Cesc Fàbregas €55M 1–0 Spain win
🇵🇹 Portugal value €277M · value #8 · Elo #10
Cristiano Ronaldo €75M Pepe €22M Ricardo Carvalho €18M Goals
Spain ▲ Portugal ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' David Villa 63' 63 Villa
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇪🇸 Spain
Iker Casillas · GK 1 Casillas Joan Capdevila · LB 11 Capdevila Sergio Ramos · RB 15 Ramos Gerard Piqué · CB 3 Piqué Carles Puyol · CB 5 Puyol Xabi Alonso · CM 14 Alonso Sergio Busquets · CM 16 Busquets Andrés Iniesta · LW 6 Iniesta David Villa · SS 7 Villa Xavi · RW 8 Xavi Fernando Torres · CF 9 Torres 🇵🇹 Portugal
Eduardo · GK 1 Eduardo Bruno Alves · CB 2 Alves Ricardo Costa · RB 21 Costa Fábio Coentrão · LB 23 Coentrão Ricardo Carvalho · CB 6 Carvalho Pepe · DM 15 Pepe Raul Meireles · CM 16 Meireles Tiago · CM 19 Tiago Simão · RW 11 Simão Hugo Almeida · CF 18 Almeida Cristiano Ronaldo · LW 7 Ronaldo Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇪🇸 Spain 63.1% draw 22.5% 14.4% Portugal 🇵🇹
Model P(result)
63.1%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#346
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.66
−log₂ P(observed)
Spain's run L 🇨🇭 0–1 Switzerland, Group W 🇭🇳 2–0 Honduras, Group W 🇨🇱 2–1 Chile, Group W 🇵🇹 1–0 Portugal, Round of 16 W 🇵🇾 1–0 Paraguay, Quarter-final W 🇩🇪 1–0 Germany, Semi-final W 🇳🇱 1–0 Netherlands, Final Portugal's run D 🇨🇮 0–0 Ivory Coast, Group W 🇰🇵 7–0 North Korea, Group D 🇧🇷 0–0 Brazil, Group L 🇪🇸 0–1 Spain, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup