🇧🇷 Brazil 0–0 Mexico 🇲🇽

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €468M · value #3 · Elo #1

0–0draw

value €97M · value #21 · Elo #20

Model P(result)

16.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.60

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

317

2145 vs 1828

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup