🇩🇪 Germany 1–0 United States 🇺🇸

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €526M · value #2 · Elo #3

1–0Germany win

value €58M · value #26 · Elo #13

Model P(result)

65.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.61

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

205

2083 vs 1878

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup