🇧🇷 Brazil 1–7 Germany 🇩🇪

2014 World Cup · Semi-final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €468M · value #3 · Elo #1

1–7Germany win

value €526M · value #2 · Elo #3

Model P(result)

36.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.44

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

2119 vs 2121

Stage

Semi-final

2014 World Cup