🇩🇪 Germany 2–2 Ghana 🇬🇭

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €526M · value #2 · Elo #3

2–2draw

value €96M · value #22 · Elo #28

Model P(result)

12.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

3.05

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

422

2108 vs 1686

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup