🇩🇪 Germany 4–0 Portugal 🇵🇹

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €526M · value #2 · Elo #3

4–0Germany win

value €297M · value #9 · Elo #6

Model P(result)

55.6%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.85

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

130

2072 vs 1942

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup