🇵🇹 Portugal 3–3 Spain 🇪🇸
2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇵🇹 Portugal value €494M · value #8 · Elo #6
Cristiano Ronaldo €100M Bernardo Silva €50M Gonçalo Guedes €40M 3–3 draw
🇪🇸 Spain value €1034M · value #2 · Elo #3
Sergio Busquets €80M Isco €75M Marco Asensio €75M Goals
Portugal ▲ Spain ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Cristiano Ronaldo 4' (pen) 4 Ronaldo Cristiano Ronaldo 44' (pen) 44 Ronaldo Cristiano Ronaldo 88' (pen) 88 Ronaldo Diego Costa 24' 24 Costa Diego Costa 55' 55 Costa Nacho 58' 58 Nacho
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇵🇹 Portugal
Rui Patrício · GK 1 Patrício Cédric · RB 21 Cédric Pepe · CB 3 Pepe Raphaël Guerreiro · LB 5 Guerreiro José Fonte · CB 6 Fonte William Carvalho · CM 14 Carvalho Gonçalo Guedes · AM 17 Guedes João Moutinho · CM 8 Moutinho Bernardo Silva · RW 11 Silva Bruno Fernandes · LW 16 Fernandes Cristiano Ronaldo · CF 7 Ronaldo 🇪🇸 Spain
David de Gea · GK 1 Gea Sergio Ramos · CB 15 Ramos Jordi Alba · LB 18 Alba Gerard Piqué · CB 3 Piqué Nacho · RB 4 Nacho Isco · AM 22 Isco Sergio Busquets · CM 5 Busquets Koke · CM 8 Koke Diego Costa · CF 19 Costa David Silva · RW 21 Silva Andrés Iniesta · LW 6 Iniesta Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇵🇹 Portugal 26.3% draw 26.2% 47.5% Spain 🇪🇸
Model P(result)
26.2%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#130
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.93
−log₂ P(observed)
Portugal's run D 🇪🇸 3–3 Spain, Group W 🇲🇦 1–0 Morocco, Group D 🇮🇷 1–1 Iran, Group L 🇺🇾 1–2 Uruguay, Round of 16 Spain's run D 🇵🇹 3–3 Portugal, Group W 🇮🇷 1–0 Iran, Group D 🇲🇦 2–2 Morocco, Group D 🇷🇺 1–1 Russia, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup