🇺🇾 Uruguay 2–1 Portugal 🇵🇹
2018 World Cup · Round of 16. tournament · tables
🇺🇾 Uruguay value €373M · value #9 · Elo #11
Luis Suárez €70M Edinson Cavani €60M José María Giménez €45M 2–1 Uruguay win
🇵🇹 Portugal value €494M · value #8 · Elo #6
Cristiano Ronaldo €100M Bernardo Silva €50M Gonçalo Guedes €40M Goals
Uruguay ▲ Portugal ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Edinson Cavani 7' 7 Cavani Edinson Cavani 62' 62 Cavani Pepe 55' 55 Pepe
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇺🇾 Uruguay
Fernando Muslera · GK 1 Muslera Diego Laxalt · LB 17 Laxalt José Giménez · CB 2 Giménez Martín Cáceres · RB 22 Cáceres Diego Godín · CB 3 Godín Lucas Torreira · CM 14 Torreira Matías Vecino · CM 15 Vecino Rodrigo Bentancur · LM 6 Bentancur Nahitan Nández · RM 8 Nández Edinson Cavani · CF 21 Cavani Luis Suárez · CF 9 Suárez 🇵🇹 Portugal
Rui Patrício · GK 1 Patrício Ricardo Pereira · RB 15 Pereira Pepe · CB 3 Pepe Raphaël Guerreiro · LB 5 Guerreiro José Fonte · CB 6 Fonte João Mário · LM 10 Mário Bernardo Silva · RM 11 Silva William Carvalho · CM 14 Carvalho Adrien Silva · CM 23 Silva Gonçalo Guedes · CF 17 Guedes Cristiano Ronaldo · CF 7 Ronaldo Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇺🇾 Uruguay 33.8% draw 27.0% 39.2% Portugal 🇵🇹
Model P(result)
33.8%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#187
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.56
−log₂ P(observed)
Uruguay's run W 🇪🇬 1–0 Egypt, Group W 🇸🇦 1–0 Saudi Arabia, Group W 🇷🇺 3–0 Russia, Group W 🇵🇹 2–1 Portugal, Round of 16 L 🇫🇷 0–2 France, Quarter-final Portugal's run D 🇪🇸 3–3 Spain, Group W 🇲🇦 1–0 Morocco, Group D 🇮🇷 1–1 Iran, Group L 🇺🇾 1–2 Uruguay, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup