🇧🇪 Belgium 2–1 Brazil 🇧🇷
2018 World Cup · Quarter-final. tournament · tables
🇧🇪 Belgium value €754M · value #6 · Elo #8
Kevin De Bruyne €150M Eden Hazard €110M Romelu Lukaku €90M 2–1 Belgium win
🇧🇷 Brazil value €981M · value #3 · Elo #1
Neymar €180M Philippe Coutinho €100M Roberto Firmino €80M Goals
Belgium ▲ Brazil ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Fernandinho 13' (o.g.) 13 Fernandinho Kevin De Bruyne 31' 31 Bruyne Renato Augusto 76' 76 Augusto
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇧🇪 Belgium
Thibaut Courtois · GK 1 Courtois Toby Alderweireld · CB 2 Alderweireld Vincent Kompany · CB 4 Kompany Jan Vertonghen · CB 5 Vertonghen Eden Hazard · LF 10 Hazard Thomas Meunier · RM 15 Meunier Nacer Chadli · LM 22 Chadli Axel Witsel · CM 6 Witsel Kevin De Bruyne · RF 7 Bruyne Marouane Fellaini · CM 8 Fellaini Romelu Lukaku · CF 9 Lukaku 🇧🇷 Brazil
Alisson · GK 1 Alisson Marcelo · LB 12 Marcelo Thiago Silva · CB 2 Silva Fagner · RB 22 Fagner Miranda · CB 3 Miranda Philippe Coutinho · AM 11 Coutinho Paulinho · CM 15 Paulinho Fernandinho · CM 17 Fernandinho Neymar · LW 10 Neymar Willian · RW 19 Willian Gabriel Jesus · CF 9 Jesus Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇧🇪 Belgium 17.9% draw 24.0% 58.1% Brazil 🇧🇷
Model P(result)
17.9%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#47
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.48
−log₂ P(observed)
Belgium's run W 🇵🇦 3–0 Panama, Group W 🇹🇳 5–2 Tunisia, Group W 🏴 1–0 England, Group W 🇯🇵 3–2 Japan, Round of 16 W 🇧🇷 2–1 Brazil, Quarter-final L 🇫🇷 0–1 France, Semi-final W 🏴 2–0 England, Third place Brazil's run D 🇨🇭 1–1 Switzerland, Group W 🇨🇷 2–0 Costa Rica, Group W 🇷🇸 2–0 Serbia, Group W 🇲🇽 2–0 Mexico, Round of 16 L 🇧🇪 1–2 Belgium, Quarter-final
Head-to-head at the World Cup