🇺🇾 Uruguay 2–0 Ghana 🇬🇭

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €450M · value #10 · Elo #10

2–0Uruguay win

value €217M · value #19 · Elo #32

Model P(result)

74.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.43

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

281

1889 vs 1608

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup