🇵🇹 Portugal 2–1 Ghana 🇬🇭

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €297M · value #9 · Elo #6

2–1Portugal win

value €96M · value #22 · Elo #28

Model P(result)

64.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.64

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

192

1903 vs 1711

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup