🇪🇸 Spain 4–0 Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €1223M · value #3 · Elo #1

4–0Spain win

value €41M · value #41 · Elo #42

Model P(result)

91.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.13

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

531

2129 vs 1598

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup