🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 2–0 Panama 🇵🇦 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €1358M · value #2 · Elo #4

2–0England win

value €35M · value #42 · Elo #30

Model P(result)

81.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.29

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

360

2028 vs 1668

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup