🇫🇷 France 2–0 Morocco 🇲🇦 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Quarter-final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €1523M · value #1 · Elo #3

2–0France win

value €448M · value #14 · Elo #22

Model P(result)

67.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.56

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

222

2143 vs 1921

Stage

Quarter-final

2026 World Cup