🇧🇪 Belgium 5–1 New Zealand 🇳🇿 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇧🇪 Belgium value €548M · value #10 · Elo #15
Jérémy Doku €75M Amadou Onana €45M Senne Lammens €35M 5–1 Belgium win
🇳🇿 New Zealand value €34M · value #43 · Elo #43
Chris Wood €5M Joe Bell €4M Tyler Bindon €4M
Goals
Belgium ▲ New Zealand ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Leandro Trossard 28' 28 Trossard Leandro Trossard 50' 50 Trossard Kevin De Bruyne 66' 66 Bruyne Romelu Lukaku 86' 86 Lukaku Alexis Saelemaekers 90+4' 94 Saelemaekers Elijah Just 84' 84 Just
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇧🇪 Belgium
Thibaut Courtois · GK 1 Courtois Timothy Castagne · RB 21 Castagne Arthur Theate · CB 3 Theate Brandon Mechele · CB 4 Mechele Maxim De Cuyper · LB 5 Cuyper Hans Vanaken · CM 20 Vanaken Kevin De Bruyne · AM 7 Bruyne Youri Tielemans · CM 8 Tielemans Leandro Trossard · LW 10 Trossard Jérémy Doku · RW 11 Doku Charles De Ketelaere · CF 17 Ketelaere 🇳🇿 New Zealand
Max Crocombe · GK 1 Crocombe Liberato Cacace · LB 13 Cacace Finn Surman · CB 16 Surman Tim Payne · RB 2 Payne Tyler Bindon · CB 4 Bindon Ryan Thomas · AM 23 Thomas Joe Bell · CM 6 Bell Marko Stamenić · CM 8 Stamenić Sarpreet Singh · RW 10 Singh Elijah Just · LW 11 Just Chris Wood · CF 9 Wood
Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇧🇪 Belgium 78.1% draw 16.4% 5.5% New Zealand 🇳🇿
Model P(result)
78.1%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#444
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.36
−log₂ P(observed)
Belgium's run D 🇪🇬 1–1 Egypt, Group D 🇮🇷 0–0 Iran, Group W 🇳🇿 5–1 New Zealand, Group W 🇸🇳 3–2 Senegal, Round of 32 W 🇺🇸 4–1 United States, Round of 16 L 🇪🇸 1–2 Spain, Quarter-final
New Zealand's run D 🇮🇷 2–2 Iran, Group L 🇪🇬 1–3 Egypt, Group L 🇧🇪 1–5 Belgium, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.