🇪🇸 Spain 2–1 Belgium 🇧🇪 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Quarter-final. tournament · tables
🇪🇸 Spain value €1223M · value #3 · Elo #1
Lamine Yamal €200M Pedri €150M Pau Cubarsí €80M 2–1 Spain win
🇧🇪 Belgium value €548M · value #10 · Elo #15
Jérémy Doku €75M Amadou Onana €45M Senne Lammens €35M Goals
Spain ▲ Belgium ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Fabián Ruiz 30' 30 Ruiz Mikel Merino 88' 88 Merino Charles De Ketelaere 41' 41 Ketelaere
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇪🇸 Spain
Unai Simón · GK 23 Simón Pedro Porro · RB 12 Porro Aymeric Laporte · CB 14 Laporte Pau Cubarsí · CB 22 Cubarsí Marc Cucurella · LB 24 Cucurella Dani Olmo · AM 10 Olmo Rodri · CM 16 Rodri Fabián Ruiz · CM 8 Ruiz Álex Baena · LW 15 Baena Lamine Yamal · RW 19 Yamal Mikel Oyarzabal · CF 21 Oyarzabal 🇧🇪 Belgium
Thibaut Courtois · GK 1 Courtois Timothy Castagne · RB 21 Castagne Nathan Ngoy · CB 25 Ngoy Brandon Mechele · CB 4 Mechele Maxim De Cuyper · LB 5 Cuyper Hans Vanaken · CM 20 Vanaken Nicolas Raskin · CM 23 Raskin Kevin De Bruyne · AM 7 Bruyne Leandro Trossard · RW 10 Trossard Jérémy Doku · LW 11 Doku Charles De Ketelaere · CF 17 Ketelaere Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇪🇸 Spain 67.1% draw 21.1% 11.8% Belgium 🇧🇪
Model P(result)
67.0%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#378
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.58
−log₂ P(observed)
Spain's run D 🇨🇻 0–0 Cape Verde, Group W 🇸🇦 4–0 Saudi Arabia, Group W 🇺🇾 1–0 Uruguay, Group W 🇦🇹 3–0 Austria, Round of 32 W 🇵🇹 1–0 Portugal, Round of 16 W 🇧🇪 2–1 Belgium, Quarter-final W 🇫🇷 2–0 France, Semi-final Belgium's run D 🇪🇬 1–1 Egypt, Group D 🇮🇷 0–0 Iran, Group W 🇳🇿 5–1 New Zealand, Group W 🇸🇳 3–2 Senegal, Round of 32 W 🇺🇸 4–1 United States, Round of 16 L 🇪🇸 1–2 Spain, Quarter-final
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.