🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 2–1 Norway 🇳🇴 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Quarter-final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €1358M · value #2 · Elo #4

2–1England win

value €590M · value #9 · Elo #11

Model P(result)

51.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.95

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

104

2076 vs 1972

Stage

Quarter-final

2026 World Cup