🇫🇷 France 4–1 Norway 🇳🇴 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables

🇫🇷 France
value €1523M · value #1 · Elo #3
  • Kylian Mbappé €180M
  • Michael Olise €150M
  • Désiré Doué €120M
4–1France win
🇳🇴 Norway
value €590M · value #9 · Elo #11
  • Erling Haaland €200M
  • Martin Ødegaard €65M
  • Jørgen Strand Larsen €40M
Goals
France ▲Norway ▼0'15'30'45'60'75'90'105'120'Ousmane Dembélé 7'7DembéléOusmane Dembélé 20'20DembéléOusmane Dembélé 32'32DembéléOusmane Dembélé 90+4'94DembéléThelo Aasgaard 21'21Aasgaard
Starting line-ups
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇫🇷 France 56.9%draw 24.3%18.8% Norway 🇳🇴
Model P(result)
56.8%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#307
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.81
−log₂ P(observed)
Elo gap
139
2090 vs 1951

France's run

  • W 🇸🇳 3–1 Senegal, Group
  • W 🇮🇶 3–0 Iraq, Group
  • W 🇳🇴 4–1 Norway, Group
  • W 🇸🇪 3–0 Sweden, Round of 32
  • W 🇵🇾 1–0 Paraguay, Round of 16
  • W 🇲🇦 2–0 Morocco, Quarter-final
  • L 🇪🇸 0–2 Spain, Semi-final
  • L 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 4–6 England, Third place

Norway's run

  • W 🇮🇶 4–1 Iraq, Group
  • W 🇸🇳 3–2 Senegal, Group
  • L 🇫🇷 1–4 France, Group
  • W 🇨🇮 2–1 Ivory Coast, Round of 32
  • W 🇧🇷 2–1 Brazil, Round of 16
  • L 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 1–2 England, Quarter-final

Head-to-head at the World Cup

  • No prior World Cup meetings.