🇫🇷 France 4–1 Norway 🇳🇴 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €1523M · value #1 · Elo #3

4–1France win

value €590M · value #9 · Elo #11

Model P(result)

56.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.81

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

139

2090 vs 1951

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup