🇦🇷 Argentina 3–0 Croatia 🇭🇷
2022 World Cup · Semi-final. tournament · tables
🇦🇷 Argentina value €645M · value #7 · Elo #2
Lautaro Martínez €75M Cristian Romero €55M Lionel Messi €50M 3–0 Argentina win
🇭🇷 Croatia value €377M · value #11 · Elo #11
Joško Gvardiol €60M Mateo Kovačić €40M Marcelo Brozović €35M Goals
Argentina ▲ Croatia ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Lionel Messi 34' (pen) 34 Messi Julián Alvarez 39' 39 Alvarez Julián Alvarez 69' 69 Alvarez
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇦🇷 Argentina
Emiliano Martínez · GK 23 Martínez Cristian Romero · CB 13 Romero Nicolás Otamendi · CB 19 Otamendi Nahuel Molina · RB 26 Molina Nicolás Tagliafico · LB 3 Tagliafico Alexis Mac Allister · LM 20 Allister Enzo Fernández · CM 24 Fernández Leandro Paredes · CM 5 Paredes Rodrigo De Paul · RM 7 Paul Lionel Messi · CF 10 Messi Julián Alvarez · CF 9 Alvarez 🇭🇷 Croatia
Dominik Livaković · GK 1 Livaković Borna Sosa · LB 19 Sosa Joško Gvardiol · CB 20 Gvardiol Josip Juranović · RB 22 Juranović Dejan Lovren · CB 6 Lovren Luka Modrić · CM 10 Modrić Marcelo Brozović · DM 11 Brozović Mario Pašalić · RF 15 Pašalić Ivan Perišić · LF 4 Perišić Mateo Kovačić · CM 8 Kovačić Andrej Kramarić · CF 9 Kramarić Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇦🇷 Argentina 61.0% draw 23.2% 15.8% Croatia 🇭🇷
🏆 Unofficial World Championship
This result transferred the unofficial title to Argentina .
Model P(result)
61.0%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#334
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.71
−log₂ P(observed)
Argentina's run L 🇸🇦 1–2 Saudi Arabia, Group W 🇲🇽 2–0 Mexico, Group W 🇵🇱 2–0 Poland, Group W 🇦🇺 2–1 Australia, Round of 16 D 🇳🇱 2–2 Netherlands, Quarter-final W 🇭🇷 3–0 Croatia, Semi-final D 🇫🇷 3–3 France, Final Croatia's run D 🇲🇦 0–0 Morocco, Group W 🇨🇦 4–1 Canada, Group D 🇧🇪 0–0 Belgium, Group D 🇯🇵 1–1 Japan, Round of 16 D 🇧🇷 1–1 Brazil, Quarter-final L 🇦🇷 0–3 Argentina, Semi-final W 🇲🇦 2–1 Morocco, Third place
Head-to-head at the World Cup