🇲🇽 Mexico 1–0 Croatia 🇭🇷

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #15 · Elo #15

1–0Mexico win

value €0M · value #7 · Elo #7

Model P(result)

29.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.75

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1832 vs 1881

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup