🇲🇽 Mexico 2–1 Ecuador 🇪🇨

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €0M · value #15 · Elo #15

2–1Mexico win

value €0M · value #9 · Elo #27

Model P(result)

58.9%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.76

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

154

1866 vs 1712

Stage

Group

2002 World Cup