🇭🇷 Croatia 2–1 Italy 🇮🇹

2002 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

🇭🇷 Croatia
value €0M · value #7 · Elo #7
2–1Croatia win
🇮🇹 Italy
value €0M · value #13 · Elo #3
Model P(result)
15.1%
model probability of the observed score
Upset index
2.73
−log₂ P(observed)
Elo gap
177
1847 vs 2024
Stage
Group
2002 World Cup

Squads: Croatia 2002 · Italy 2002