🇭🇷 Croatia 2–1 Italy 🇮🇹
2002 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
Goals
Croatia ▲ Italy ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Ivica Olić 73' 73 Olić Milan Rapaić 76' 76 Rapaić Christian Vieri 55' 55 Vieri
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇭🇷 Croatia
Stipe Pletikosa · GK 1 Pletikosa Daniel Šarić · RWB 15 Šarić Robert Jarni · LWB 17 Jarni Robert Kovač · SW 21 Kovač Josip Šimunić · CB 3 Šimunić Stjepan Tomas · CB 4 Tomas Niko Kovač · CM 10 Kovač Zvonimir Soldo · CM 14 Soldo Milan Rapaić · AM 5 Rapaić Davor Vugrinec · AM 7 Vugrinec Alen Bokšić · CF 11 Bokšić 🇮🇹 Italy
Gianluigi Buffon · GK 1 Buffon Alessandro Nesta · CB 13 Nesta Gianluca Zambrotta · RB 19 Zambrotta Christian Panucci · LB 2 Panucci Paolo Maldini · CB 3 Maldini Fabio Cannavaro · CB 5 Cannavaro Cristiano Doni · LM 11 Doni Damiano Tommasi · RM 17 Tommasi Cristiano Zanetti · CM 6 Zanetti Francesco Totti · SS 10 Totti Christian Vieri · CF 21 Vieri Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇭🇷 Croatia 15.1% draw 22.8% 62.1% Italy 🇮🇹
Model P(result)
15.1%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#31
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.73
−log₂ P(observed)
Croatia's run L 🇲🇽 0–1 Mexico, Group W 🇮🇹 2–1 Italy, Group L 🇪🇨 0–1 Ecuador, Group Italy's run W 🇪🇨 2–0 Ecuador, Group L 🇭🇷 1–2 Croatia, Group D 🇲🇽 1–1 Mexico, Group L 🇰🇷 1–2 South Korea, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.