🇪🇨 Ecuador 1–0 Croatia 🇭🇷
2002 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
Goals
Ecuador ▲ Croatia ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Édison Méndez 48' 48 Méndez
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇪🇨 Ecuador
José Cevallos · GK 1 Cevallos Augusto Poroso · CB 2 Poroso Iván Hurtado · CB 3 Hurtado Ulises de la Cruz · RB 4 Cruz Raúl Guerrón · LB 6 Guerrón Marlon Ayoví · CM 15 Ayoví Cléver Chalá · LM 16 Chalá Édison Méndez · RM 19 Méndez Alfonso Obregon · CM 5 Obregon Agustín Delgado · CF 11 Delgado Carlos Tenorio · CF 18 Tenorio 🇭🇷 Croatia
Stipe Pletikosa · GK 1 Pletikosa Daniel Šarić · RWB 15 Šarić Robert Jarni · LWB 17 Jarni Dario Šimić · CB 20 Šimić Robert Kovač · SW 21 Kovač Josip Šimunić · CB 3 Šimunić Niko Kovač · CM 10 Kovač Stjepan Tomas · CM 4 Tomas Milan Rapaić · CM 5 Rapaić Alen Bokšić · CF 11 Bokšić Ivica Olić · CF 18 Olić Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇪🇨 Ecuador 13.3% draw 22.0% 64.7% Croatia 🇭🇷
Model P(result)
13.3%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#25
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.90
−log₂ P(observed)
Ecuador's run L 🇮🇹 0–2 Italy, Group L 🇲🇽 1–2 Mexico, Group W 🇭🇷 1–0 Croatia, Group Croatia's run L 🇲🇽 0–1 Mexico, Group W 🇮🇹 2–1 Italy, Group L 🇪🇨 0–1 Ecuador, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.