🇧🇪 Belgium 2–0 England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

2018 World Cup · Third place. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €754M · value #6 · Elo #8

2–0Belgium win

value €874M · value #5 · Elo #7

Model P(result)

47.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.09

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

2021 vs 1949

Stage

Third place

2018 World Cup