🇭🇷 Croatia 0–0 Morocco 🇲🇦

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €377M · value #11 · Elo #11

0–0draw

value €241M · value #17 · Elo #24

Model P(result)

23.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.09

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

162

1926 vs 1764

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup