🇧🇪 Belgium 1–0 England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €754M · value #6 · Elo #8

1–0Belgium win

value €874M · value #5 · Elo #7

Model P(result)

35.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.48

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1968 vs 1973

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup