🇧🇪 Belgium 1–0 England 🏴
2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇧🇪 Belgium value €754M · value #6 · Elo #8
Kevin De Bruyne €150M Eden Hazard €110M Romelu Lukaku €90M 1–0 Belgium win
🏴 England value €874M · value #5 · Elo #7
Harry Kane €150M Dele Alli €100M Raheem Sterling €90M Goals
Belgium ▲ England ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Adnan Januzaj 51' 51 Januzaj
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇧🇪 Belgium
Thibaut Courtois · GK 1 Courtois Dedryck Boyata · CB 20 Boyata Leander Dendoncker · CB 23 Dendoncker Thomas Vermaelen · CB 3 Vermaelen Thorgan Hazard · LM 16 Hazard Youri Tielemans · LF 17 Tielemans Adnan Januzaj · RF 18 Januzaj Mousa Dembélé · CM 19 Dembélé Nacer Chadli · RM 22 Chadli Marouane Fellaini · CM 8 Fellaini Michy Batshuayi · CF 21 Batshuayi 🏴 England
Jordan Pickford · GK 1 Pickford Gary Cahill · CB 15 Cahill Phil Jones · CB 16 Jones John Stones · CB 5 Stones Fabian Delph · CM 17 Delph Ruben Loftus-Cheek · CM 21 Loftus-Cheek Eric Dier · DM 4 Dier Jamie Vardy · CF 11 Vardy Marcus Rashford · CF 19 Rashford Trent Alexander-Arnold · RW 22 Alexander-Arnold Danny Rose · LW 3 Rose Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇧🇪 Belgium 35.8% draw 27.0% 37.2% England 🏴
Model P(result)
35.8%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#197
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.48
−log₂ P(observed)
Belgium's run W 🇵🇦 3–0 Panama, Group W 🇹🇳 5–2 Tunisia, Group W 🏴 1–0 England, Group W 🇯🇵 3–2 Japan, Round of 16 W 🇧🇷 2–1 Brazil, Quarter-final L 🇫🇷 0–1 France, Semi-final W 🏴 2–0 England, Third place England's run W 🇹🇳 2–1 Tunisia, Group W 🇵🇦 6–1 Panama, Group L 🇧🇪 0–1 Belgium, Group D 🇨🇴 1–1 Colombia, Round of 16 W 🇸🇪 2–0 Sweden, Quarter-final L 🇭🇷 1–2 Croatia, Semi-final L 🇧🇪 0–2 Belgium, Third place
Head-to-head at the World Cup